The highly regarded political polling and prediction site FiveThirtyEight reported the other day that if only men voted, Republican nominee Donald Trump would overwhelmingly defeat Democrat Hillary Clinton and win the U.S. presidency:
However, the outcome would be vastly different if ONLY women voted. In that scenario, Clinton would, uh, thump Trump:
If you are unfamiliar with it, previously I broadly explained how the “Electoral College” elects the U.S. president. The sharper than usual gender divergence in presidential voting preferences this year shows what we might call almost a United States of Men vs. a United States of Women. Interestingly, though, what it also shows is far more men polled say they will vote for Clinton than women will for Trump, which is a good part of the reason that Secretary Clinton seems on course to be the next President of the United States.
Due to that FiftyThirtyEight finding, some of Trump’s supporters on Twitter created a #repealthe19th hashtag. In 1920, the 19th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution gave women the federal vote. The hashtag was a lighthearted take by some, but one also does wonder just how seriously some posting on it were in calling for women’s right to vote to be removed.
In response still others on Twitter decided to have a laugh about “what the electoral map of the U.S. might look like” if voting were restricted even more narrowly than merely only to men or even just to women. A few I’ve seen:
Seeing this “debate” caused me also to recall a serious discussion I wrote for Conventions that includes an aside on women not having the vote. It takes place between an American man and an Englishman in France (where women would not vote until 1944) amidst the French Revolution’s “reign of terror” in 1794:
Those male characters there were being, well, “liberal” for their era. Thus history and attempting to be “faithful” in fiction to what people – in that case, those two men – thought of their world as they saw it and lived it in their time. Thankfully, our world has much broadened since then.
Another thought I had was this one, and if you visit here regularly I am sure it will surprise you not at all: The center of the U.S. electoral map if only Humphrey Bogart voted:
Have a smile, and a good day, wherever you are in the world. 🙂